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Anthropic Just Filed to Go Public. Does the Math Add Up?
Patrick Boyle
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Note Pro: https://bit.ly/4c9s3bC NotePin S: https://bit.ly/46IANlt Use "PBOYLE" for 22% off Amazon: https://amzn.to/4xFP79Q Use "PBOYLE22" for 22% off Anthropic is preparing what could be the biggest IPO in history, at a reported valuation of around $2 trillion – while Nvidia, the company actually making money from AI, trades at its cheapest valuation in over a decade. In this video, finance professor Patrick Boyle looks at whether the AI boom is a bubble and what you would have to believe to pay $2 trillion for an AI lab. We cover the Anthropic and OpenAI IPO plans, why rising interest rates and a 5% ten-year Treasury yield are bad news for AI stocks, how "total addressable market" (TAM) estimates have been used to justify tech valuations from Amazon to Uber and WeWork, SoftBank's junk bonds and its $50 billion data-centre company SB Energy, the circular financing between Nvidia, OpenAI and SoftBank, and the AI price war with Chinese open-weight models like DeepSeek. Along the way, we revisit Scott McNealy's famous warning about Sun Microsystems and the dotcom bubble, and ask whether today's AI giants could turn out to be the Yahoo and Lycos of this era. House of El AI Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=claxN4oxDuY Prof G Markets - Damodaran Video Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vE_FR0O-Jhk&t=15s Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle Visit our website: https://www.onfinance.org Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.social Business Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org Patrick Boyle On Finance Podcast: Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7uhrWlDvxzy9hLoW0EYf0b Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/patrick-boyle-on-finance/id1547740313 Google Podcasts: https://tinyurl.com/62862nve Join this channel to support making this content: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCASM0cgfkJxQ1ICmRilfHLw/join
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